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10 of 10 matches with xG: 25 goals from 25.3 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.67–1.04 | 52% · 24% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Adana Demirspor 1–0 Trabzonspor | 0.87–0.79 | 35% · 35% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| Pendikspor 2–3 Sivasspor | 1.43–2.85 | 17% · 16% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Ankaragücü 3–0 Kayserispor | 0.68–0.20 | 43% · 47% · 10% | Close call, Ankaragücü won |
| Başakşehir 2–0 Gaziantep FK | 0.74–2.25 | 11% · 18% · 72% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Antalyaspor 0–2 Galatasaray | 0.98–2.01 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Rizespor 1–0 Samsunspor | 0.63–0.80 | 26% · 38% · 36% | Close call, Rizespor won |
| Beşiktaş 2–0 İstanbulspor | 2.02–0.35 | 77% · 17% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Hatayspor 3–1 Konyaspor | 1.23–0.53 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Hatayspor |
| Kasımpaşa 0–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.19–4.04 | 0% · 3% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.