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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 24.8 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor 3–1 Rizespor | 3.03–0.86 | 81% · 12% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Gaziantep FK 1–0 Antalyaspor | 0.77–0.37 | 42% · 42% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Konyaspor 1–2 Pendikspor | 1.21–2.32 | 19% · 19% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Galatasaray 2–1 Beşiktaş | 2.17–0.44 | 78% · 16% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Sivasspor 0–1 Kasımpaşa | 0.96–1.56 | 23% · 25% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| İstanbulspor 2–1 Ankaragücü | 1.29–1.42 | 34% · 26% · 40% | Close call, İstanbulspor won |
| Samsunspor 0–0 Başakşehir | 0.97–0.51 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fenerbahçe 4–2 Hatayspor | 1.97–0.78 | 65% · 21% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–0 Adana Demirspor | 1.25–0.81 | 47% · 29% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Trabzonspor 1–0 Alanyaspor | 1.13–0.97 | 39% · 30% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.