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10 of 10 matches with xG: 35 goals from 22.8 xG (1.54 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor 0–3 Galatasaray | 0.80–1.61 | 19% · 25% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Kasımpaşa 1–0 Samsunspor | 1.53–0.86 | 53% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Sivasspor 1–0 Konyaspor | 0.35–0.34 | 22% · 56% · 21% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
| Hatayspor 1–2 Başakşehir | 1.29–0.67 | 51% · 29% · 19% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Fenerbahçe 2–1 Beşiktaş | 0.97–0.67 | 41% · 34% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Pendikspor 1–2 Kayserispor | 1.79–0.56 | 67% · 22% · 11% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
| Alanyaspor 6–0 İstanbulspor | 2.55–1.06 | 70% · 17% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Trabzonspor 4–2 Gaziantep FK | 2.13–0.69 | 71% · 19% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Rizespor 2–2 Ankaragücü | 0.97–1.55 | 24% · 26% · 51% | Draw against the xG: Ankaragücü had 51% |
| Fatih Karagümrük 4–1 Antalyaspor | 1.85–0.51 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.