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10 of 10 matches with xG: 33 goals from 30.2 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.91–2.51 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 72% |
| Beşiktaş 3–2 Rizespor | 2.26–1.14 | 63% · 19% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| İstanbulspor 0–1 Adana Demirspor | 0.76–1.54 | 18% · 26% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Adana Demirspor |
| Kayserispor 2–2 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.58–1.90 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Samsunspor 3–1 Trabzonspor | 2.09–0.31 | 80% · 16% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Başakşehir 4–1 Kasımpaşa | 2.40–0.47 | 80% · 14% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Hatayspor | 1.60–0.80 | 56% · 25% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Gaziantep FK had 56% |
| Galatasaray 6–1 Sivasspor | 2.27–0.96 | 67% · 19% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Antalyaspor 1–2 Pendikspor | 1.89–2.25 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
| Konyaspor 0–0 Fenerbahçe | 0.23–2.34 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 85% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.