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10 of 10 matches with xG: 34 goals from 25.3 xG (1.34 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe 3–0 Kayserispor | 1.97–0.45 | 74% · 19% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Trabzonspor 3–0 İstanbulspor | 0.67–0.52 | 34% · 42% · 24% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–3 Galatasaray | 1.08–1.29 | 31% · 28% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Konyaspor 3–0 Samsunspor | 0.85–0.25 | 49% · 41% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Adana Demirspor 1–6 Gaziantep FK | 0.54–2.53 | 6% · 14% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Sivasspor 0–1 Başakşehir | 0.59–1.61 | 13% · 24% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Kasımpaşa 3–1 Antalyaspor | 3.21–1.58 | 70% · 15% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Alanyaspor 1–1 Beşiktaş | 1.94–0.45 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 73% |
| Hatayspor 2–1 Ankaragücü | 1.45–1.60 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Close call, Hatayspor won |
| Pendikspor 2–1 Rizespor | 1.98–0.78 | 66% · 21% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Pendikspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.