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10 of 10 matches with xG: 23 goals from 24.3 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbulspor 1–3 Sivasspor | 1.60–1.71 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Sivasspor |
| Antalyaspor 2–1 Adana Demirspor | 0.47–2.58 | 5% · 12% · 83% | Won against the xG: Antalyaspor |
| Beşiktaş 2–2 Hatayspor | 2.49–0.90 | 72% · 16% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Beşiktaş had 72% |
| Ankaragücü 0–0 Pendikspor | 0.76–0.28 | 44% · 43% · 13% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rizespor 0–0 Kasımpaşa | 1.20–2.03 | 22% · 21% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Kasımpaşa had 57% |
| Samsunspor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 1.12–0.35 | 56% · 33% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Samsunspor had 56% |
| Gaziantep FK 3–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.87–0.29 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Başakşehir 0–1 Trabzonspor | 0.97–0.62 | 43% · 35% · 23% | Won against the xG: Trabzonspor |
| Kayserispor 2–2 Konyaspor | 1.19–1.82 | 25% · 23% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Konyaspor had 52% |
| Galatasaray 0–1 Fenerbahçe | 0.67–1.41 | 18% · 27% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.