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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 27.1 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor 2–4 Sivasspor | 1.88–1.56 | 45% · 22% · 32% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
| Hatayspor 0–1 Kayserispor | 1.74–1.71 | 39% · 22% · 38% | Close call, Kayserispor won |
| Kasımpaşa 1–4 Samsunspor | 1.40–2.38 | 22% · 19% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Göztepe 2–1 Trabzonspor | 2.90–1.89 | 59% · 17% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Gaziantep FK 3–1 Konyaspor | 1.09–1.45 | 28% · 26% · 45% | Won against the xG: Gaziantep FK |
| Alanyaspor 1–2 Antalyaspor | 1.22–1.11 | 39% · 28% · 33% | Close call, Antalyaspor won |
| Fenerbahçe 2–0 Bodrum FK | 1.58–0.43 | 66% · 24% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Başakşehir 1–1 Eyüpspor | 1.65–0.49 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Başakşehir had 66% |
| Galatasaray 2–1 Beşiktaş | 2.00–0.59 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.