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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor 2–2 Gaziantep FK | 1.44–1.41 | 38% · 25% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 1–0 Başakşehir | 1.07–0.45 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Antalyaspor 0–3 Galatasaray | 0.33–2.20 | 4% · 15% · 81% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Eyüpspor 1–0 Göztepe | 0.99–1.18 | 31% · 29% · 40% | Close call, Eyüpspor won |
| Sivasspor 3–2 Hatayspor | 1.54–1.89 | 32% · 22% · 46% | Close call, Sivasspor won |
| Beşiktaş 2–0 Konyaspor | 3.05–1.35 | 72% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Alanyaspor 1–2 Kasımpaşa | 1.75–1.49 | 44% · 23% · 33% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Samsunspor 2–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.83–1.37 | 23% · 28% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bodrum FK 0–1 Rizespor | 0.72–0.82 | 29% · 36% · 35% | Close call, Rizespor won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.