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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.6 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor 2–1 Antalyaspor | 0.80–1.86 | 16% · 22% · 62% | Won against the xG: Rizespor |
| Kasımpaşa 0–0 Bodrum FK | 0.81–0.07 | 53% · 44% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Kasımpaşa had 53% |
| Göztepe 3–2 Sivasspor | 1.46–0.85 | 51% · 27% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Başakşehir 1–1 Kayserispor | 1.95–1.30 | 53% · 22% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Başakşehir had 53% |
| Hatayspor 1–1 Trabzonspor | 1.06–1.38 | 29% · 27% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Konyaspor 2–1 Eyüpspor | 1.48–0.66 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Adana Demirspor 1–3 Samsunspor | 1.29–1.14 | 40% · 27% · 33% | Close call, Samsunspor won |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Beşiktaş | 1.38–2.28 | 23% · 20% · 58% | Draw against the xG: Beşiktaş had 58% |
| Galatasaray 1–0 Alanyaspor | 1.31–0.49 | 57% · 29% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.