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9 of 9 matches with xG: 36 goals from 27.4 xG (1.31 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sivasspor 1–2 Başakşehir | 1.76–2.05 | 34% · 21% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Samsunspor 4–3 Göztepe | 1.89–1.29 | 51% · 22% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Alanyaspor 1–0 Rizespor | 1.06–1.52 | 26% · 26% · 48% | Won against the xG: Alanyaspor |
| Galatasaray 3–3 Kasımpaşa | 1.06–2.29 | 16% · 19% · 65% | Draw against the xG: Kasımpaşa had 65% |
| Trabzonspor 3–2 Konyaspor | 1.73–1.87 | 36% · 22% · 42% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Eyüpspor 3–2 Gaziantep FK | 1.89–1.59 | 45% · 22% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Eyüpspor |
| Antalyaspor 0–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.38–1.93 | 6% · 19% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Bodrum FK 3–1 Adana Demirspor | 1.68–1.01 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
| Kayserispor 0–3 Beşiktaş | 0.49–1.89 | 9% · 20% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.