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9 of 9 matches with xG: 33 goals from 26.9 xG (1.22 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor 1–2 Galatasaray | 1.78–1.02 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Won against the xG: Galatasaray |
| Kayserispor 1–2 Sivasspor | 1.80–1.22 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Won against the xG: Sivasspor |
| Göztepe 2–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.87–2.13 | 14% · 19% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 66% |
| Adana Demirspor 1–2 Rizespor | 1.26–1.45 | 33% · 26% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Başakşehir 4–2 Alanyaspor | 1.17–2.44 | 17% · 18% · 65% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Gaziantep FK 0–1 Samsunspor | 1.14–1.06 | 37% · 29% · 33% | Close call, Samsunspor won |
| Beşiktaş 4–2 Antalyaspor | 2.98–1.03 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Eyüpspor 4–1 Bodrum FK | 2.28–1.71 | 51% · 20% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Eyüpspor |
| Hatayspor 1–1 Kasımpaşa | 0.53–1.08 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.