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9 of 9 matches with xG: 31 goals from 27.8 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 1–1 Göztepe | 1.37–1.47 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sivasspor 0–1 Eyüpspor | 0.55–1.13 | 18% · 32% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Eyüpspor |
| Bodrum FK 3–1 Konyaspor | 1.67–0.35 | 71% · 22% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Bodrum FK |
| Kasımpaşa 2–2 Adana Demirspor | 2.27–1.78 | 49% · 20% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antalyaspor 3–2 Hatayspor | 2.23–1.38 | 57% · 20% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Rizespor 0–5 Fenerbahçe | 0.61–1.97 | 11% · 20% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Galatasaray 3–1 Gaziantep FK | 2.16–0.62 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Samsunspor 2–0 Başakşehir | 1.96–1.16 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Trabzonspor 2–2 Kayserispor | 2.70–2.46 | 45% · 18% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.