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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.2 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir 1–4 Fenerbahçe | 1.46–3.47 | 12% · 13% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Gaziantep FK 0–1 Alanyaspor | 0.39–1.02 | 14% · 35% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Konyaspor 2–1 Rizespor | 1.50–1.21 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Eyüpspor 0–3 Kasımpaşa | 0.56–0.67 | 26% · 41% · 33% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Trabzonspor 0–2 Galatasaray | 1.16–1.35 | 32% · 27% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Sivasspor 0–0 Bodrum FK | 0.76–0.70 | 33% · 37% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beşiktaş 4–1 Adana Demirspor | 3.76–0.53 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Göztepe 1–1 Hatayspor | 2.29–0.20 | 85% · 13% · 2% | Draw against the xG: Göztepe had 85% |
| Kayserispor 3–1 Antalyaspor | 1.91–0.25 | 78% · 18% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.