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7 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 25.5 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana Demirspor 0–5 Hatayspor | 1.63–3.23 | 16% · 15% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Hatayspor |
| Bodrum FK 1–1 Trabzonspor | 0.96–1.46 | 25% · 26% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Galatasaray 3–0 Kayserispor | 2.72–0.85 | 77% · 14% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Rizespor 6–3 Göztepe | 1.93–1.87 | 41% · 21% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Kasımpaşa 2–3 Başakşehir | 1.64–1.91 | 34% · 22% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Alanyaspor 1–1 Beşiktaş | 0.65–1.55 | 15% · 25% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Beşiktaş had 59% |
| Fenerbahçe 2–1 Eyüpspor | 3.45–1.68 | 71% · 14% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.