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9 of 9 matches with xG: 32 goals from 32.4 xG (0.99 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor 2–1 Antalyaspor | 1.40–1.05 | 45% · 27% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Eyüpspor |
| Gaziantep FK 2–2 Kasımpaşa | 2.63–2.02 | 52% · 18% · 30% | Draw against the xG: Gaziantep FK had 52% |
| Göztepe 0–2 Galatasaray | 1.55–1.62 | 37% · 24% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Beşiktaş 1–2 Rizespor | 1.25–0.59 | 53% · 30% · 18% | Won against the xG: Rizespor |
| Kayserispor 1–1 Bodrum FK | 1.10–2.89 | 12% · 14% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Bodrum FK had 74% |
| Konyaspor 1–2 Alanyaspor | 0.90–0.76 | 37% · 34% · 29% | Close call, Alanyaspor won |
| Trabzonspor 2–2 Samsunspor | 2.19–1.11 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Trabzonspor had 62% |
| Başakşehir 2–3 Adana Demirspor | 4.98–1.49 | 89% · 6% · 5% | Won against the xG: Adana Demirspor |
| Hatayspor 4–2 Fenerbahçe | 2.14–2.77 | 30% · 18% · 52% | Close call, Hatayspor won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.