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9 of 9 matches with xG: 27 goals from 28.5 xG (0.95 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–2 Kayserispor | 2.04–1.65 | 47% · 21% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kocaelispor 2–0 Alanyaspor | 1.33–0.69 | 52% · 29% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Kocaelispor |
| Trabzonspor 2–0 Eyüpspor | 1.09–1.19 | 33% · 28% · 38% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Antalyaspor 0–4 Başakşehir | 1.24–2.47 | 18% · 18% · 64% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Galatasaray 3–1 Göztepe | 3.31–1.08 | 80% · 12% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–2 Konyaspor | 1.03–1.25 | 30% · 28% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Kasımpaşa 1–1 Beşiktaş | 1.04–2.57 | 13% · 16% · 70% | Draw against the xG: Beşiktaş had 70% |
| Gaziantep FK 0–4 Fenerbahçe | 0.57–2.50 | 6% · 14% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Samsunspor 1–1 Rizespor | 2.45–0.99 | 69% · 17% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Samsunspor had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.