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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 21.5 xG (0.84 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir 1–0 Kocaelispor | 1.69–1.04 | 53% · 24% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Göztepe 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.40–0.80 | 51% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Galatasaray 0–0 Trabzonspor | 1.47–0.44 | 63% · 26% · 11% | Draw against the xG: Galatasaray had 63% |
| Konyaspor 1–3 Samsunspor | 1.48–1.88 | 31% · 22% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Kayserispor 3–2 Kasımpaşa | 1.45–0.39 | 64% · 26% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Beşiktaş 2–3 Fenerbahçe | 1.13–1.66 | 26% · 24% · 50% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Alanyaspor 0–0 Gaziantep FK | 0.76–0.89 | 29% · 35% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Eyüpspor 0–1 Antalyaspor | 1.68–0.90 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Won against the xG: Antalyaspor |
| Rizespor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.67–0.76 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.