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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–1 Başakşehir | 1.98–1.14 | 57% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
| Gaziantep FK 2–2 Rizespor | 3.05–1.38 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Gaziantep FK had 71% |
| Trabzonspor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 1.86–1.28 | 51% · 23% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Trabzonspor had 51% |
| Antalyaspor 1–3 Beşiktaş | 0.60–1.49 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Kasımpaşa 0–2 Göztepe | 0.50–2.11 | 8% · 17% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–0 Konyaspor | 1.24–0.51 | 55% · 30% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Kocaelispor 1–0 Galatasaray | 0.67–0.63 | 31% · 40% · 29% | Close call, Kocaelispor won |
| Fenerbahçe 4–2 Kayserispor | 2.24–1.26 | 60% · 20% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Samsunspor 1–0 Eyüpspor | 2.33–0.06 | 89% · 10% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.