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9 of 9 matches with xG: 29 goals from 28.1 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kayserispor 0–3 Gaziantep FK | 0.85–1.68 | 19% · 24% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Eyüpspor 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.11–1.66 | 25% · 24% · 50% | Draw against the xG: Fatih Karagümrük had 50% |
| Galatasaray 3–2 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4.34–1.66 | 82% · 9% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Göztepe 0–0 Kocaelispor | 0.36–0.44 | 21% · 52% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Alanyaspor 1–2 Kasımpaşa | 0.73–0.92 | 27% · 34% · 38% | Win in line with xG for Kasımpaşa |
| Beşiktaş 1–1 Samsunspor | 1.61–1.73 | 36% · 23% · 41% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rizespor 2–5 Fenerbahçe | 0.84–3.34 | 6% · 10% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Başakşehir 3–4 Trabzonspor | 1.98–3.20 | 22% · 16% · 62% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Konyaspor 0–0 Antalyaspor | 0.97–0.64 | 42% · 34% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.