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9 of 9 matches with xG: 22 goals from 21.4 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.26–0.16 | 66% · 29% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Kocaelispor |
| Rizespor 0–1 Kayserispor | 1.42–0.64 | 56% · 27% · 17% | Won against the xG: Kayserispor |
| Gaziantep FK 1–2 Eyüpspor | 1.17–2.62 | 15% · 17% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Eyüpspor |
| Kasımpaşa 1–3 Başakşehir | 1.41–1.27 | 40% · 26% · 34% | Close call, Başakşehir won |
| Trabzonspor 3–1 Konyaspor | 2.50–1.66 | 56% · 19% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Antalyaspor 1–2 Göztepe | 0.38–0.91 | 15% · 38% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Fatih Karagümrük 0–2 Beşiktaş | 0.47–3.14 | 3% · 8% · 89% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Fenerbahçe 1–1 Galatasaray | 1.00–0.23 | 55% · 36% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 55% |
| Samsunspor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.41–0.71 | 19% · 43% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.