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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 18.3 xG (1.26 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor 2–1 Kasımpaşa | 0.65–0.52 | 33% · 42% · 25% | Close call, Trabzonspor won |
| Kayserispor 0–3 Başakşehir | 0.38–1.56 | 9% · 24% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Başakşehir |
| Samsunspor 0–0 Kocaelispor | 0.73–0.34 | 41% · 43% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fatih Karagümrük 1–3 Galatasaray | 0.53–1.40 | 14% · 27% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Konyaspor | 0.54–1.02 | 19% · 34% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antalyaspor 2–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.15–0.90 | 41% · 30% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Rizespor 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.41–1.28 | 12% · 29% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 59% |
| Fenerbahçe 1–1 Göztepe | 2.13–0.98 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Fenerbahçe had 64% |
| Eyüpspor 2–2 Beşiktaş | 1.86–1.91 | 38% · 21% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.