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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 22.1 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor 1–1 Trabzonspor | 0.61–1.96 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Draw against the xG: Trabzonspor had 69% |
| Kasımpaşa 0–1 Samsunspor | 1.17–0.72 | 47% · 31% · 23% | Won against the xG: Samsunspor |
| Alanyaspor 1–3 Eyüpspor | 1.54–1.13 | 47% · 25% · 28% | Won against the xG: Eyüpspor |
| Başakşehir 2–2 Rizespor | 1.36–0.47 | 59% · 28% · 13% | Draw against the xG: Başakşehir had 59% |
| Beşiktaş 2–1 Konyaspor | 2.00–1.01 | 60% · 21% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Göztepe 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.85–1.14 | 27% · 30% · 42% | Won against the xG: Göztepe |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 2–1 Gaziantep FK | 1.51–1.17 | 45% · 25% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
| Galatasaray 4–0 Kayserispor | 3.32–0.65 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Kocaelispor 0–2 Fenerbahçe | 0.72–0.80 | 29% · 36% · 34% | Close call, Fenerbahçe won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.