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9 of 9 matches with xG: 19 goals from 27.5 xG (0.69 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe | 0.98–3.09 | 9% · 12% · 79% | Won against the xG: Başakşehir |
| Beşiktaş 0–1 Galatasaray | 1.47–1.57 | 36% · 24% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Fatih Karagümrük | 0.92–0.80 | 36% · 34% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Rizespor 1–0 Antalyaspor | 2.16–0.60 | 73% · 18% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
| Konyaspor 1–1 Kasımpaşa | 2.70–1.89 | 55% · 18% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Konyaspor had 55% |
| Fenerbahçe 3–2 Samsunspor | 1.28–0.99 | 43% · 28% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Eyüpspor 0–1 Kocaelispor | 1.15–1.60 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Win in line with xG for Kocaelispor |
| Alanyaspor 0–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.48–0.11 | 74% · 24% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Alanyaspor had 74% |
| Kayserispor 1–3 Trabzonspor | 2.09–2.65 | 31% · 18% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.