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9 of 9 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.9 xG (1.05 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor 1–4 Gaziantep FK | 0.52–2.73 | 5% · 12% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–0 Fenerbahçe | 1.50–0.69 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Fatih Karagümrük |
| Kocaelispor 1–2 Konyaspor | 0.61–2.02 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Galatasaray 3–0 Başakşehir | 2.78–0.48 | 85% · 11% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Göztepe 2–2 Alanyaspor | 1.67–0.73 | 60% · 24% · 16% | Draw against the xG: Göztepe had 60% |
| Trabzonspor 1–0 Rizespor | 1.48–0.67 | 57% · 26% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Kasımpaşa 1–0 Eyüpspor | 0.81–0.98 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 Beşiktaş | 0.82–1.58 | 19% · 25% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Samsunspor 2–1 Kayserispor | 2.10–0.74 | 69% · 19% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.