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9 of 9 matches with xG: 25 goals from 23.0 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe 4–1 Gaziantep FK | 2.64–1.50 | 62% · 18% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Alanyaspor 5–0 Kocaelispor | 0.69–0.25 | 42% · 46% · 12% | Close call, Alanyaspor won |
| Başakşehir 0–0 Antalyaspor | 1.41–1.13 | 43% · 26% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Eyüpspor 0–1 Trabzonspor | 0.26–1.51 | 6% · 24% · 70% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Kayserispor 1–0 Fatih Karagümrük | 2.13–0.25 | 82% · 15% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Kayserispor |
| Beşiktaş 2–1 Kasımpaşa | 1.66–1.18 | 49% · 24% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Konyaspor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.48–0.06 | 75% · 23% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Konyaspor |
| Göztepe 1–3 Galatasaray | 1.97–1.06 | 59% · 22% · 20% | Won against the xG: Galatasaray |
| Rizespor 4–1 Samsunspor | 2.15–1.65 | 49% · 21% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Rizespor |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.