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9 of 9 matches with xG: 20 goals from 24.6 xG (0.81 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 Göztepe | 1.10–2.13 | 19% · 20% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Kasımpaşa 2–0 Kayserispor | 0.55–0.27 | 35% · 51% · 15% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Gaziantep FK 1–1 Alanyaspor | 0.83–1.15 | 26% · 30% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 2–1 Galatasaray | 0.80–1.50 | 20% · 26% · 54% | Won against the xG: Trabzonspor |
| Fatih Karagümrük 2–1 Rizespor | 1.32–1.55 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Close call, Fatih Karagümrük won |
| Samsunspor 2–2 Konyaspor | 2.07–2.40 | 34% · 19% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Antalyaspor 3–0 Eyüpspor | 2.54–0.32 | 85% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Antalyaspor |
| Fenerbahçe 1–0 Beşiktaş | 2.93–0.95 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Kocaelispor 0–0 Başakşehir | 0.84–1.36 | 23% · 28% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.