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9 of 9 matches with xG: 18 goals from 19.1 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eyüpspor 0–2 Galatasaray | 0.38–2.14 | 5% · 16% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
| Fatih Karagümrük 0–1 Kasımpaşa | 0.83–0.62 | 38% · 37% · 25% | Close call, Kasımpaşa won |
| Samsunspor 1–2 Antalyaspor | 0.97–0.92 | 35% · 32% · 33% | Close call, Antalyaspor won |
| Beşiktaş 2–1 Başakşehir | 1.87–0.71 | 65% · 22% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
| Konyaspor 1–2 Alanyaspor | 1.04–1.19 | 32% · 29% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Alanyaspor |
| Kayserispor 1–1 Göztepe | 0.62–0.48 | 33% · 44% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fenerbahçe 1–0 Trabzonspor | 3.12–0.04 | 95% · 5% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Gaziantep FK 2–0 Kocaelispor | 1.52–0.20 | 72% · 24% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Gaziantep FK |
| Rizespor 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1.17–1.26 | 34% · 27% · 38% | Close call, Rizespor won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.