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9 of 9 matches with xG: 23 goals from 20.5 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Göztepe 3–0 Beşiktaş | 2.23–0.67 | 73% · 17% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Göztepe |
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–0 Eyüpspor | 1.15–1.29 | 33% · 27% · 40% | Close call, Gençlerbirliği S.K. won |
| Antalyaspor 1–1 Kayserispor | 0.63–0.84 | 25% · 37% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Trabzonspor 1–1 Gaziantep FK | 1.58–0.19 | 73% · 23% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Trabzonspor had 73% |
| Başakşehir 1–1 Alanyaspor | 1.77–1.66 | 41% · 22% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kocaelispor 1–1 Rizespor | 1.28–0.27 | 63% · 29% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Kocaelispor had 63% |
| Kasımpaşa 1–1 Fenerbahçe | 1.38–0.80 | 51% · 28% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Kasımpaşa had 51% |
| Samsunspor 3–2 Fatih Karagümrük | 1.91–0.58 | 69% · 20% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Samsunspor |
| Galatasaray 3–1 Konyaspor | 1.21–1.04 | 40% · 29% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Galatasaray |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.