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9 of 9 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.3 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor 0–1 Galatasaray | 2.11–1.67 | 48% · 21% · 31% | Close call, Galatasaray won |
| Eyüpspor 0–0 Göztepe | 0.46–1.64 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Göztepe had 67% |
| Gaziantep FK 2–2 Samsunspor | 2.25–0.92 | 67% · 19% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Gaziantep FK had 67% |
| Fatih Karagümrük 3–4 Trabzonspor | 1.70–1.77 | 37% · 22% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Trabzonspor |
| Konyaspor 2–1 Başakşehir | 1.07–1.77 | 23% · 23% · 54% | Won against the xG: Konyaspor |
| Rizespor 1–2 Kasımpaşa | 1.35–0.32 | 63% · 28% · 9% | Won against the xG: Kasımpaşa |
| Fenerbahçe 2–0 Antalyaspor | 2.65–0.24 | 88% · 10% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Fenerbahçe |
| Kayserispor 1–1 Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 2.44–0.14 | 88% · 10% · 1% | Draw against the xG: Kayserispor had 88% |
| Beşiktaş 3–1 Kocaelispor | 2.51–0.29 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Beşiktaş |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.