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7 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 18.2 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR 3–0 Minai | 2.46–0.73 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Obolon'-Brovar 0–3 Oleksandria | 0.95–1.84 | 19% · 23% · 58% | Win in line with xG for Oleksandria |
| Chornomorets 0–2 Dnipro-1 | 0.68–0.73 | 29% · 38% · 32% | Close call, Dnipro-1 won |
| Zorya Luhansk 0–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.06–0.89 | 39% · 31% · 30% | Close call, Kolos Kovalivka won |
| Ruh Lviv 1–2 Dynamo Kyiv | 2.14–1.01 | 63% · 20% · 17% | Won against the xG: Dynamo Kyiv |
| Polessya 2–0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.58–0.53 | 30% · 44% · 26% | Close call, Polessya won |
| FC Kharkiv 1–2 Veres Rivne | 2.73–1.83 | 57% · 18% · 25% | Won against the xG: Veres Rivne |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.