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8 of 8 matches with xG: 30 goals from 23.1 xG (1.30 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Kyiv 3–1 Kryvbas KR | 2.79–1.37 | 67% · 16% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| LNZ Cherkasy 2–1 Zorya Luhansk | 0.97–0.81 | 38% · 33% · 29% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| FC Kharkiv 3–3 Polessya | 1.63–3.60 | 13% · 13% · 74% | Draw against the xG: Polessya had 74% |
| Minai 3–2 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.41–0.80 | 51% · 27% · 21% | Win in line with xG for Minai |
| Veres Rivne 2–2 Oleksandria | 1.20–2.52 | 16% · 18% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Oleksandria had 66% |
| Vorskla Poltava 3–1 Obolon'-Brovar | 0.78–0.73 | 33% · 37% · 30% | Close call, Vorskla Poltava won |
| Ruh Lviv 2–0 Chornomorets | 1.48–0.59 | 59% · 26% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Dnipro-1 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.95–1.49 | 24% · 26% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.