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1 of 8 matches with xG: 4 goals from 3.3 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk 1–3 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.53–2.79 | 5% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.