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3 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 9.6 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dnipro-1 5–2 Chornomorets | 2.30–1.11 | 64% · 19% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Dnipro-1 |
| Oleksandria 2–2 Obolon'-Brovar | 2.98–1.39 | 70% · 15% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Oleksandria had 70% |
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–1 Zorya Luhansk | 1.33–0.51 | 57% · 29% · 14% | Won against the xG: Zorya Luhansk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.