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4 of 8 matches with xG: 9 goals from 9.3 xG (0.97 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LNZ Cherkasy 0–3 Kryvbas KR | 0.31–2.11 | 4% · 16% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Zorya Luhansk 1–0 Vorskla Poltava | 2.57–1.16 | 68% · 17% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
| Oleksandria 0–3 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.51–0.95 | 19% · 36% · 45% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Obolon'-Brovar 1–1 Chornomorets | 1.48–0.23 | 70% · 25% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Obolon'-Brovar had 70% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.