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6 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 17.1 xG (0.70 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets 0–0 Oleksandria | 1.13–0.64 | 47% · 32% · 21% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ruh Lviv 1–1 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.70–1.79 | 14% · 22% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Shakhtar Donetsk had 64% |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.16–1.47 | 30% · 26% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
| Veres Rivne 1–1 LNZ Cherkasy | 1.79–1.28 | 49% · 23% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Polessya 1–1 Kryvbas KR | 1.78–0.86 | 59% · 23% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Polessya had 59% |
| Karpaty 1–3 Zorya Luhansk | 3.22–1.26 | 76% · 13% · 11% | Won against the xG: Zorya Luhansk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.