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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 19.6 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk 0–1 Polessya | 0.62–1.44 | 16% · 27% · 57% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Kryvbas KR 1–0 Obolon'-Brovar | 1.39–0.76 | 52% · 28% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Kolos Kovalivka 2–1 Karpaty | 0.62–1.50 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Won against the xG: Kolos Kovalivka |
| Inhulets 1–4 Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.17–2.64 | 15% · 17% · 69% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Oleksandria 3–1 Veres Rivne | 2.38–1.30 | 61% · 19% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Oleksandria |
| Livyi Bereh 1–0 Ruh Lviv | 1.24–0.54 | 54% · 30% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Livyi Bereh |
| Chornomorets 1–1 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.38–2.59 | 4% · 12% · 85% | Draw against the xG: Dynamo Kyiv had 85% |
| LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 Vorskla Poltava | 0.38–0.61 | 19% · 46% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.