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8 of 8 matches with xG: 12 goals from 14.7 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.67–1.31 | 19% · 29% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Shakhtar Donetsk had 52% |
| Polessya 0–0 Dynamo Kyiv | 1.43–0.23 | 68% · 26% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Polessya had 68% |
| Vorskla Poltava 1–2 Chornomorets | 0.94–1.57 | 23% · 25% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Chornomorets |
| Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 LNZ Cherkasy | 1.07–0.14 | 61% · 34% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Obolon'-Brovar had 61% |
| Ruh Lviv 2–0 Veres Rivne | 0.84–0.44 | 43% · 39% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Kryvbas KR 0–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 0.52–0.58 | 26% · 44% · 30% | Close call, Kolos Kovalivka won |
| Karpaty 2–1 Oleksandria | 1.86–0.29 | 76% · 19% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
| Inhulets 2–1 Livyi Bereh | 1.15–1.62 | 27% · 25% · 48% | Won against the xG: Inhulets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.