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5 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 12.9 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh 2–3 Karpaty | 2.77–1.51 | 64% · 17% · 19% | Won against the xG: Karpaty |
| Ruh Lviv 0–0 Kryvbas KR | 0.83–0.28 | 47% · 41% · 12% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chornomorets 0–3 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.16–3.26 | 1% · 5% · 94% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Inhulets 0–4 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.20–2.08 | 3% · 15% · 82% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Veres Rivne 0–2 Obolon'-Brovar | 1.02–0.83 | 39% · 32% · 29% | Close call, Obolon'-Brovar won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.