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8 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 17.6 xG (0.91 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vorskla Poltava 0–1 Livyi Bereh | 0.24–0.48 | 14% · 54% · 32% | Close call, Livyi Bereh won |
| Oleksandria 1–1 LNZ Cherkasy | 1.49–1.79 | 32% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kryvbas KR 2–0 Karpaty | 1.89–1.09 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Zorya Luhansk 2–1 Chornomorets | 0.80–0.97 | 29% · 33% · 38% | Close call, Zorya Luhansk won |
| Inhulets 0–2 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.22–1.01 | 41% · 29% · 30% | Close call, Kolos Kovalivka won |
| Ruh Lviv 1–3 Obolon'-Brovar | 0.90–0.92 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Win in line with xG for Obolon'-Brovar |
| Polessya 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.56–0.69 | 26% · 41% · 34% | Close call, Polessya won |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 Veres Rivne | 1.38–2.14 | 24% · 21% · 55% | Won against the xG: Dynamo Kyiv |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.