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8 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 19.5 xG (0.87 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh 0–3 Vorskla Poltava | 0.67–1.63 | 15% · 24% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Vorskla Poltava |
| Veres Rivne 1–2 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.42–1.97 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Chornomorets 0–1 Zorya Luhansk | 0.76–1.28 | 22% · 29% · 49% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–0 Inhulets | 0.78–0.33 | 43% · 42% · 15% | Draw in line with xG |
| Obolon'-Brovar 0–4 Ruh Lviv | 0.94–2.21 | 15% · 19% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Karpaty 3–0 Kryvbas KR | 1.95–2.37 | 32% · 20% · 48% | Close call, Karpaty won |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Polessya | 1.66–0.50 | 66% · 23% · 11% | Won against the xG: Polessya |
| LNZ Cherkasy 0–2 Oleksandria | 0.72–1.32 | 20% · 29% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Oleksandria |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.