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6 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 17.9 xG (1.01 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar 0–2 Zorya Luhansk | 0.63–1.77 | 13% · 22% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
| Ruh Lviv 5–0 Inhulets | 3.14–0.59 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Karpaty 1–1 Vorskla Poltava | 1.25–0.84 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Oleksandria 2–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 0.98–0.51 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Oleksandria |
| Chornomorets 1–4 Polessya | 1.31–4.50 | 5% · 7% · 87% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1–0 LNZ Cherkasy | 2.31–0.05 | 89% · 11% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.