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8 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 20.9 xG (0.53 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 Kolos Kovalivka | 0.55–1.10 | 18% · 33% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Kudrivka | 1.57–0.53 | 63% · 25% · 12% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Veres Rivne 0–0 Karpaty | 0.71–1.93 | 13% · 21% · 66% | Draw against the xG: Karpaty had 66% |
| Oleksandria 0–1 Ruh Lviv | 0.82–2.18 | 13% · 19% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–0 FC Kharkiv | 0.48–1.11 | 16% · 33% · 51% | Draw against the xG: FC Kharkiv had 51% |
| Polessya 2–0 Zorya Luhansk | 2.03–1.19 | 57% · 21% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1–2 SK Poltava | 2.47–0.62 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Won against the xG: SK Poltava |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 2–2 Kryvbas KR | 2.53–1.05 | 69% · 17% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Shakhtar Donetsk had 69% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.