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7 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 13.2 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk 1–0 Karpaty | 0.74–0.99 | 26% · 33% · 40% | Close call, Zorya Luhansk won |
| LNZ Cherkasy 3–0 Obolon'-Brovar | 1.01–0.17 | 58% · 36% · 6% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.67–0.84 | 27% · 36% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kudrivka 1–2 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.81–2.09 | 13% · 20% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Kryvbas KR 3–0 Oleksandria | 1.11–0.53 | 50% · 33% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Ruh Lviv 1–0 Polessya | 1.03–0.24 | 56% · 35% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| SK Poltava 0–3 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 0.77–2.24 | 11% · 18% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.