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8 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 24.0 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandria 1–1 Kudrivka | 1.50–1.51 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Draw in line with xG |
| Obolon'-Brovar 1–3 FC Kharkiv | 0.84–1.78 | 17% · 23% · 60% | Win in line with xG for FC Kharkiv |
| Kryvbas KR 1–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.83–1.28 | 50% · 23% · 27% | Draw against the xG: Kryvbas KR had 50% |
| LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Zorya Luhansk | 1.54–0.85 | 54% · 26% · 21% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Polessya 3–2 Karpaty | 2.00–2.37 | 33% · 19% · 47% | Close call, Polessya won |
| SK Poltava 1–2 Ruh Lviv | 0.31–1.32 | 9% · 28% · 63% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Dynamo Kyiv 3–0 Veres Rivne | 2.75–1.03 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 5–0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 2.78–0.28 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.