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5 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 9.6 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–2 LNZ Cherkasy | 0.27–1.86 | 5% · 19% · 77% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| FC Kharkiv 0–0 Kryvbas KR | 0.50–0.25 | 32% · 53% · 14% | Draw in line with xG |
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–2 Polessya | 1.51–1.51 | 38% · 24% · 38% | Close call, Polessya won |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Karpaty | 1.61–0.17 | 75% · 22% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Shakhtar Donetsk |
| Kudrivka 2–2 Zorya Luhansk | 0.27–1.60 | 6% · 23% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Zorya Luhansk had 71% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.