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6 of 8 matches with xG: 13 goals from 17.5 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| LNZ Cherkasy 1–3 Polessya | 1.13–1.34 | 31% · 27% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| FC Kharkiv 1–0 Oleksandria | 2.71–0.02 | 93% · 7% · 0% | Win in line with xG for FC Kharkiv |
| Kryvbas KR 3–1 Zorya Luhansk | 1.49–2.05 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Won against the xG: Kryvbas KR |
| Obolon'-Brovar 1–0 Ruh Lviv | 1.17–0.97 | 40% · 29% · 30% | Win in line with xG for Obolon'-Brovar |
| Karpaty 0–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.70–2.32 | 28% · 20% · 52% | Win in line with xG for Kolos Kovalivka |
| SK Poltava 0–2 Kudrivka | 1.21–1.43 | 32% · 26% · 42% | Win in line with xG for Kudrivka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.