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8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 22.8 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| SK Poltava 1–0 Veres Rivne | 0.47–1.75 | 9% · 22% · 69% | Won against the xG: SK Poltava |
| Ruh Lviv 1–5 Dynamo Kyiv | 0.90–3.28 | 7% · 11% · 83% | Win in line with xG for Dynamo Kyiv |
| Kryvbas KR 2–0 FC Kharkiv | 0.65–2.14 | 10% · 18% · 72% | Won against the xG: Kryvbas KR |
| LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 3.04–1.17 | 75% · 14% · 11% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
| Obolon'-Brovar 1–0 Oleksandria | 0.40–0.70 | 19% · 43% · 38% | Won against the xG: Obolon'-Brovar |
| Polessya 0–1 Kolos Kovalivka | 1.52–1.45 | 39% · 24% · 36% | Close call, Kolos Kovalivka won |
| Karpaty 3–3 Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.04–1.40 | 52% · 21% · 26% | Draw against the xG: Karpaty had 52% |
| Zorya Luhansk 2–1 Kudrivka | 0.79–1.13 | 26% · 31% · 44% | Won against the xG: Zorya Luhansk |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.