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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 22.5 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolos Kovalivka 0–2 Ruh Lviv | 0.54–2.80 | 5% · 11% · 84% | Win in line with xG for Ruh Lviv |
| Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1–2 Zorya Luhansk | 0.64–1.58 | 15% · 25% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Zorya Luhansk |
| Oleksandria 0–2 Karpaty | 0.47–2.13 | 7% · 17% · 76% | Win in line with xG for Karpaty |
| Obolon'-Brovar 1–1 Veres Rivne | 2.11–0.85 | 66% · 20% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Obolon'-Brovar had 66% |
| Polessya 4–0 SK Poltava | 3.65–0.45 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Polessya |
| Kryvbas KR 3–1 Kudrivka | 1.95–0.93 | 61% · 21% · 17% | Win in line with xG for Kryvbas KR |
| Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 FC Kharkiv | 1.20–0.62 | 50% · 31% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Dynamo Kyiv had 50% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1–4 LNZ Cherkasy | 0.61–1.93 | 11% · 20% · 69% | Win in line with xG for LNZ Cherkasy |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.