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10 of 10 matches with xG: 27 goals from 24.8 xG (1.09 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Dallas 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.47–0.55 | 60% · 26% · 14% | Win in line with xG for FC Dallas |
| Minnesota United FC 1–0 Houston Dynamo | 2.02–0.74 | 67% · 20% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Minnesota United FC |
| Real Salt Lake 0–0 Portland Timbers | 1.01–0.40 | 50% · 35% · 14% | Draw against the xG: Real Salt Lake had 50% |
| LAFC 1–1 Sporting Kansas City | 1.16–0.36 | 57% · 32% · 11% | Draw against the xG: LAFC had 57% |
| Seattle Sounders 1–2 Austin | 2.30–0.58 | 76% · 16% · 8% | Won against the xG: Austin |
| FC Cincinnati 3–2 Columbus Crew | 2.51–1.44 | 61% · 18% · 21% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| DC United 3–0 LA Galaxy | 1.83–0.87 | 60% · 23% · 17% | Win in line with xG for DC United |
| Inter Miami 1–3 Orlando City SC | 0.26–1.01 | 9% · 36% · 55% | Win in line with xG for Orlando City SC |
| New York Red Bulls 2–1 CF Montreal | 2.13–0.98 | 64% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for New York Red Bulls |
| Philadelphia Union 3–0 New England Revolution | 2.45–0.74 | 75% · 16% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Philadelphia Union |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.