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10 of 10 matches with xG: 24 goals from 25.8 xG (0.93 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.11–0.73 | 44% · 32% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Portland Timbers |
| LA Galaxy 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes | 2.05–0.87 | 65% · 20% · 15% | Win in line with xG for LA Galaxy |
| Atlanta United FC 4–0 Colorado Rapids | 3.89–0.35 | 95% · 4% · 1% | Win in line with xG for Atlanta United FC |
| Charlotte 2–1 Chicago Fire | 0.55–1.35 | 15% · 28% · 57% | Won against the xG: Charlotte |
| FC Cincinnati 3–0 CF Montreal | 1.24–0.97 | 42% · 29% · 29% | Win in line with xG for FC Cincinnati |
| Columbus Crew 2–0 LA Galaxy | 2.03–0.53 | 73% · 19% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Columbus Crew |
| Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC | 0.96–1.46 | 25% · 26% · 49% | Draw in line with xG |
| Philadelphia Union 0–0 DC United | 0.63–1.51 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Draw against the xG: DC United had 59% |
| Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls | 1.39–0.88 | 49% · 27% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Nashville SC 2–1 Inter Miami | 2.39–0.93 | 70% · 17% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Nashville SC |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.